WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f638b17ea4d21be621d1a5f0f0e8845750dca1eb39a15391162073c28ced02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 4,535$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.87 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 3,865$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.07 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 2,170$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.59 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 1,716$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.55 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 60c | 1,077$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 42c | 900.66$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 59c | 802.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 764.15$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.61 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 666$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 56c | 603.01$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 498.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 33c | 446.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 444.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 439.35$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 419.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 64c | 356.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 49c | 298.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 33c | 259.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 46c | 240.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 53c | 227.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 153.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 147.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 41c | 130.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 55c | 120.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 35c | 111.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 111.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 47c | 98.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 47c | 97.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 85.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 61c | 82.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 42c | 78.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 58c | 72.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 69.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 48c | 62.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 25c | 45.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 51c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 35c | 39.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Under | 52c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 27.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 44c | 27.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 54c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 51c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…33bebacked Under | 51c | 20.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Over | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.