TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c3,172$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.4978548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c3,011$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.491,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over47c1,451$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,350$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.821,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Under55c1,100$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.483053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c877.34$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Under41c811.56$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c805.92$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Over5c801.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under45c799.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0313742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c796.25$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over73c745$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.0315741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c653.05$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7537141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under60c603.59$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.732150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over66c519.94$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under57c435$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5721446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under55c372$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5832049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over47c349.25$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over60c339.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under60c332.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.447450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c318$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7228140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c312.28$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9741147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1385831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over66c289.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.84148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c262.33$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.947732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over50c238.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0412661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under53c221.66$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9714148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under52c207.47$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5517656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over60c207$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c205.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.263836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Under21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1582326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Under21c148.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.472240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under61c147.59$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.595655.4%31 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over51c147.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5710454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under52c136.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.49348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under46c130.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.494961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under44c126.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9622440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.427049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c113$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4315346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c111$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7238645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Under21c101.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c98.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Under58c97.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.224751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over39c96.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Under53c96.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c95.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over40c94.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.278438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3124852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Over48c84.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over66c67.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.553534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over50c60.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over47c57.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.856155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.388057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Over43c53.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed Over46c52.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+83.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under49c50.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9210345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Over45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ea…cda9backed Under61c48.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5234753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.645066%33 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under53c44.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.171968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over66c43.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.865362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c65…2e0dbacked Under60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c39.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4137850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under60c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3924347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under51c32.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c30.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400f…d22abacked Under54c28.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7518441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under54c24.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.135168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9650952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…89c7backed Under42c23.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over53c22.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.798549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under45c22.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.113249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Over66c20.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under60c19.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.723746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.