TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9ea…cda9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category WNBA at 49 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.89
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Augsburg: Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurelbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$36.76
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.82
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.08
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.66
Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Peter Makkbacked Peter Makk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.11
Quebec City: Stefano Napolitano vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Ugo Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.12
Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.87
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.72
Cincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.69
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.18
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.07
Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs Alexandrovabacked Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.08
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.75
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.