MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21327084c3f1ea177ba1352d13805cf7a612c68db81637ede4917297f1c6af25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 231,536$99,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,975.69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 36,283$20,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,638.67 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 36,060$18,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,432.34 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 25,819$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 252 | 45.6%115 W · 137 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 23,237$11,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,989.65 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 22,796$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,824.35 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 17,859$8,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.73 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 17,418$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.34 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.96 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 16,700$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,519 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 16,665$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666 | 447 | 54.8%245 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…1fa0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 13,111$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 13,028$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.48 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 12,766$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 12,489$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 11,431$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.77 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 10,714$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.15 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 8,965$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.91 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 7,900$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,396$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.75 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 6,867$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 6,246$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.22 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 5,090$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.36 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 4,566$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.33 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 4,385$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.45 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,673$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 3,414$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,302$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.59 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,067$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.72 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,062$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.71 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,679$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.57 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,464$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.64 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 2,452$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,378$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,146$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.7 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,035$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.69 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 2,007$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.66 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,936$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.82 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,933$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.49 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,725$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.86 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 458 | 51.1%234 W · 224 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,216$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.06 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,180$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.5 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…9c86backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 999.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.85 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 960$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 714 | 44.4%317 W · 397 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 936$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 909.14$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.9 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 810.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 735.8$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.08 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 620$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 612.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 599.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 595.53$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 1,150 | 31.7%365 W · 785 L | -95.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 590.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 586.5$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 579.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 575.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 532.81$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 817 | 57%466 W · 351 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 499.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 351 | 45%158 W · 193 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 478$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 477$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 476.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,742 | 49.1%856 W · 886 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 471.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 440$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 406 | 43.6%177 W · 229 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 426.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 426.72$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 424.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 420$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…7900backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 404.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 399.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 360$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 336.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 320$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 319$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 595 | 52.6%313 W · 282 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 298$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 290$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 289.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 289.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.