TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fc…381a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.24
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.26
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.6
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$146.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$268.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.58
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.45
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$193.79
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.64
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.2
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.29
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$68.85
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.2
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.27
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$143
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+195.7%+$113.5
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$179.9
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$119.97
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.17
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.46
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$140.01
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.82
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.