TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof paiN, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$928,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,025,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked BIG50c179,063$89,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,202.8114050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed paiN50c120,000$59,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,80020354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed paiN51c93,894$47,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,886.0723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed BIG49c46,326$22,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,433.4113244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN50c40,000$19,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,85041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BIG49c36,974$18,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,856.5625355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG50c35,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,50075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed paiN50c33,248$16,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,623.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN49c32,420$15,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,977.576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked BIG50c30,380$15,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1904639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked paiN50c28,899$14,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,449.7321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG50c27,132$13,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,549.425,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BIG49c23,529$11,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,998.2881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed paiN36c22,304$8,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,082.9512353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed paiN50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00033343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed paiN50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed paiN0c14,120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN26c13,811$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.271,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BIG49c12,714$6,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,484.2842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed BIG49c10,753$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.0910359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN44c10,750$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,702.1336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked paiN51c10,500$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3459248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed paiN49c10,270$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,047.1719455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked paiN50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG49c9,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,59036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN50c8,144$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN38c7,920$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.6722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed BIG62c7,550$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.3719659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BIG63c7,428$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked paiN55c7,275$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG72c7,125$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.751,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BIG50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG51c6,870$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.852,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed paiN1c6,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BIG62c5,835$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.0844957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BIG64c5,772$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.851,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9041…9bf7backed paiN41c5,481$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked paiN43c5,237$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.947454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed paiN49c5,028$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.1375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed BIG50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5004748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked paiN51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN51c4,872$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.5235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed BIG55c4,552$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.8236450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BIG48c4,273$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.5311633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG76c4,195$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.511,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BIG65c4,018$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.311,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BIG49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BIG51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9823848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG58c3,966$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.612,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked paiN51c3,900$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98122449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN50c3,878$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9511,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed BIG53c3,765$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.4312955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked paiN53c3,000$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.717540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed paiN43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.994459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BIG51c2,940$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BIG65c2,852$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.171,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG50c2,831$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.2666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked paiN61c2,629$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.4541040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed BIG50c2,608$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.4550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BIG52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2009551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BIG52c2,448$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.0863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed paiN49c2,340$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.5717643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked paiN49c2,246$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10112143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed paiN49c2,056$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.811253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked BIG49c2,054$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6817849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed paiN49c2,049$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.2924262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked BIG52c2,042$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed BIG50c2,033$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.4212259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac8…1d09backed paiN49c2,030$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed paiN49c2,004$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.0251252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BIG49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.9797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked BIG50c1,997$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.586256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed paiN49c1,991$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.5511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed BIG49c1,925$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.7324339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed paiN51c1,915$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.79254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BIG55c1,833$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3315155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked BIG49c1,770$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.713844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed BIG51c1,758$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.4245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG55c1,724$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.965,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BIG51c1,600$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.9710136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG66c1,514$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.197,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BIG49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76514847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked BIG52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed paiN49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN41c1,500$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed paiN49c1,490$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed paiN51c1,467$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9910339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed paiN52c1,437$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked paiN50c1,320$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG56c1,283$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.762,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN37c1,227$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.962,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked paiN40c1,189$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.323249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BIG48c1,177$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.6558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed paiN50c1,142$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9955043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked paiN31c1,136$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.798032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9542050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BIG55c1,110$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8340253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed paiN50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.