TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf36e…f91c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
661
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT29739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 297 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$223.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$248
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.99
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.93
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$222
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.99
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$357.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.88
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$511.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$205.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+331%+$307.2
Showing 25 of 297 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$117.99
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$127.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.87
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.7
Spread: Spain (-5.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.09
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$109.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.55
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$97.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.96
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.85
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.34
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$41.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.74
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.17
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.02
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$316.17
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$311.87
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+118%+$821.58
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.24
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-25.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.15
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.06
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.66
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.17
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.84
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$798
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.43
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.8
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$934.78
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$709.99
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$956.22
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.82
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.41
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.92
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$310.75
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$281.38
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.9
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$197.5
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$163.29
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,036.79
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$929.65
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.99
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,244.98
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$574.06
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.94
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.2
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$662.92
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.8
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$679.17
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$338.24
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$654.82
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.53
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$366.59
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.07
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$610.99
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.44
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.35
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.95
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.98
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$358.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.47
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$385.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+384%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+384%+$396.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.