Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089b54397cddb57c9faa34cea7fcfb17af7c9074196508ff46d98fb02f9aab06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 5,000$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Level UP | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.03 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 77c | 2,030$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.04 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Level UP | 13c | 2,014$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Level UP | 23c | 1,436$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…2a8dbacked Level UP | 43c | 1,191$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Level UP | 18c | 999.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 15c | 896.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Level UP | 23c | 658$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Level UP | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Level UP | 10c | 517.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Liquid | 55c | 509.62$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 15c | 341$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 10c | 288.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed Level UP | 9c | 275.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Level UP | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 248.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Liquid | 56c | 237$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Level UP | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Level UP | 19c | 179.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Level UP | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid | 79c | 142.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Level UP | 22c | 138.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Level UP | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Level UP | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed Team Liquid | 75c | 105.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Level UP | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Team Liquid | 75c | 99.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Level UP | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Level UP | 25c | 87.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Level UP | 18c | 83.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…12eabacked Team Liquid | 78c | 80.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Level UP | 16c | 79.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 14c | 74.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Level UP | 15c | 71.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Level UP | 22c | 67.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 21c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Level UP | 23c | 52.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Level UP | 24c | 52.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Liquid | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Level UP | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Liquid | 76c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed Team Liquid | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…2555backed Team Liquid | 80c | 24.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Team Liquid | 79c | 24.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Team Liquid | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Team Liquid | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.