Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3adeaf7c3b6ff0175a2ac73b9297743f9d97325dc85ea1d1dc271207ec3d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Level UP | 20c | 17,794$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.8 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 10,315$8,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.03 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Level UP | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Level UP | 2c | 4,012$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Level UP | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Level UP | 19c | 1,710$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,594$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.74 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed Level UP | 14c | 1,558$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Level UP | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 19c | 1,433$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Level UP | 21c | 1,423$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,385$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Level UP | 19c | 1,377$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Level UP | 24c | 1,265$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,260$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP | 19c | 1,260$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Level UP | 19c | 1,017$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Level UP | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Level UP | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 959$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 19c | 887.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Level UP | 20c | 801.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 79c | 771.81$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Level UP | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Level UP | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Level UP | 19c | 709$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Level UP | 2c | 699.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 699.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Level UP | 5c | 647$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Level UP | 5c | 640$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Level UP | 9c | 640$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 80c | 635$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Liquid | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Level UP | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Level UP | 19c | 505$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Level UP | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Level UP | 2c | 499.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 4c | 485.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid | 80c | 416$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 413$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Level UP | 20c | 360$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Level UP | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Level UP | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed Level UP | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed Level UP | 22c | 223.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Team Liquid | 80c | 205.24$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Liquid | 80c | 190$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7fb5backed Level UP | 14c | 174.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed Team Liquid | 80c | 168$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Level UP | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 20c | 147.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 78c | 139.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…6005backed Level UP | 12c | 134.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed Level UP | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Level UP | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7967backed Team Liquid | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Level UP | 21c | 71.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 78c | 70.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 65.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Team Liquid | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Level UP | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Level UP | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Level UP | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 47.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Team Liquid | 79c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Team Liquid | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d8…61b1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Team Liquid | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Team Liquid | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.