Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2f8e76c350ca075a70acc34b363fce57c478c471bf8c99fa201846f10fe134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 73c | 8,225$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.38 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Level UP | 12c | 6,058$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Level UP | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 77c | 4,262$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.64 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Level UP | 50c | 3,857$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.54 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Level UP | 35c | 3,571$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.53 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Level UP | 14c | 3,252$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.27 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 19c | 3,048$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Level UP | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Level UP | 26c | 2,876$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 16c | 2,460$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.35 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Level UP | 49c | 2,406$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.15 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Level UP | 14c | 2,346$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.97 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Level UP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,962$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.77 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Level UP | 21c | 1,959$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.66 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Level UP | 23c | 1,954$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.76 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Level UP | 8c | 1,834$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,821$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Level UP | 18c | 1,796$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 10c | 1,780$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,750$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Level UP | 17c | 1,716$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Level UP | 24c | 1,580$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Level UP | 14c | 1,553$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Level UP | 6c | 1,546$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,465$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.24 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Level UP | 33c | 1,381$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.44 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Level UP | 19c | 1,337$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,237$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,207$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Level UP | 34c | 1,186$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Level UP | 29c | 1,164$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.37 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Level UP | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Level UP | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 74c | 968.02$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.25 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Liquid | 50c | 912$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 79c | 852.13$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Team Liquid | 42c | 812.09$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Level UP | 16c | 800.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Level UP | 29c | 724.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Level UP | 17c | 708.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Level UP | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Level UP | 11c | 649.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Level UP | 47c | 618.96$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 594.18$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 591.45$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Level UP | 11c | 558.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 80c | 556.35$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Level UP | 45c | 549.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 531.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid | 77c | 503.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 59c | 500$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Level UP | 10c | 486.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid | 74c | 481.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Level UP | 11c | 463.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 79c | 449.63$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Level UP | 29c | 378.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Level UP | 22c | 351.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Level UP | 18c | 344.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Level UP | 26c | 340.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Team Liquid | 72c | 337.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 328.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Level UP | 29c | 320$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Liquid | 79c | 307.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Level UP | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked Level UP | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Liquid | 73c | 294.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 68c | 290$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 273.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 268.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Level UP | 10c | 263.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Level UP | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Level UP | 7c | 259.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 15c | 253.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Level UP | 14c | 249.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 20c | 238.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Level UP | 14c | 231.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Level UP | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Level UP | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Level UP | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 21c | 196$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 173.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Level UP | 24c | 172.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Level UP | 13c | 153.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Level UP | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…07aebacked Level UP | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Liquid | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Level UP | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Level UP | 47c | 146.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Level UP | 8c | 142.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Level UP | 42c | 141.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 140.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Level UP | 21c | 131.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.