TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x83a0…eabb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7728.6%22 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.91
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$123.19
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.98
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.48
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.01
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.01
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$72.98
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.85
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$232
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.9
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$130.5
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$272.81
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,741.65
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,618.61
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$675.13
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,015.23
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$632.98
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,409.24
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,604.06
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,998.37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,641.12
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,107.54
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,154.25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,796.26
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,288.26
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,278.86
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.37
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,675.13
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,006.48
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,775.97
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,535.28
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180.98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,507.17
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,305.39
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.6
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.81
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.24
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,593.73
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,639.8
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,584.95
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,348.75
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,779.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,082.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.29
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.38
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,776.64
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.2
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.23
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,518
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,595
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$944.09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,719.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,337.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,725.89
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.62
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,435.06
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,961.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312.44
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.16
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$238.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,261.96
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.22
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.59
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italybacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$287.38
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,557.72
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,598.22
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,280.79
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$638.62
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,384.35
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.35
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,124.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+274.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$1,122.53
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,426.94
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,736.87
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Cruz: Guido Justo vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$122.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,672.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.