MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f89a244b1655169cf6866e6e6f9b1c6df9677ad5e69bb2b498fffaa0dcb0c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 53c | 31,395$16,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,755.49 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 15,223$7,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,002.42 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 10,322$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 9,564$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 8,496$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Over | 61c | 4,999$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 4,747$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 4,421$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 3,658$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Under | 47c | 3,584$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 3,477$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.63 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 2,250$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 2,041$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…52dcbacked Over | 54c | 1,838$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 37c | 1,529$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 59c | 1,194$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.56 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 54c | 1,130$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1187backed Under | 47c | 1,044$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 973.37$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 54c | 610.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Over | 54c | 608.78$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 54c | 555.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 551.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 54c | 551.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.51 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 450$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 37c | 439.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 392.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 54c | 390$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 54c | 378.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 29c | 334.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 47c | 314.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 54c | 311.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 23c | 279.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…ff73backed Over | 54c | 266.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 54c | 259.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 54c | 235.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 210.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Over | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 201.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 180.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 33c | 178.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…af22backed Over | 54c | 159.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 26c | 158.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 24c | 136.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 54c | 114.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Over | 54c | 103.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 48c | 102.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 99.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Over | 55c | 99.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 54c | 78.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 54c | 76.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.