TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ed6…2322

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$125.85
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$32.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$39.12
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$53.66
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$56.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$53.76
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$24.37
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$64.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.