MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c70d2c3f03d1b797001768f6c7494158e735baf6070338179c8c9dc943aec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 53c | 115,815$61,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,433.02 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 115,047$54,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,072.12 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 85,065$39,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,129.92 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 54c | 82,754$44,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,066.61 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 53c | 25,015$13,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,757.28 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 14,773$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 9,010$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 8,559$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 8,550$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 54c | 8,456$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.23 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 46c | 6,642$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.29 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.48 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 6,247$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.69 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 48c | 5,404$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.96 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 48c | 4,800$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 4,246$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.62 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 3,724$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 52c | 3,206$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.76 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 3,199$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.73 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 3,180$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.6 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,021$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,833$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.39 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 1,352$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 47c | 1,267$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 52c | 1,070$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 960$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 923.68$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.09 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 54c | 887.48$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 54c | 711.61$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 47c | 688$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 38c | 649.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 54c | 635$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 596.35$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 54c | 568.33$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 54c | 559.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 510.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 46c | 406.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 54c | 369.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 53c | 345.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 319.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 50c | 311$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 48c | 297.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 44c | 251.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 245.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 54c | 229.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 216.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…a198backed Over | 54c | 202.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 199.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 54c | 187.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 107.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 54c | 93.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Under | 14c | 93.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0331…4f10backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 88.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Under | 17c | 86.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…af22backed Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 38c | 81.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 79.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…c242backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 54c | 68.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…2d82backed Over | 54c | 64.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 53c | 55.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 55.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 54c | 55.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 54c | 52.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 58c | 51.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.