MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83de5752a72706d42774eabee977b1e76c570a159829c1648f96cf1a847c4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 45c | 166,088$74,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,658.77 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 84,781$45,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,745.6 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 21,920$12,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.22 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 17,862$10,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.36 | 2,315 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,099 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 13,260$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.92 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 57c | 8,000$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.04 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 5,355$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.58 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 43c | 3,877$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.73 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 3,040$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.9 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 46c | 2,955$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,101$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.45 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 44c | 1,833$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.69 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 1,807$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.52 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,676$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.5 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 45c | 1,676$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 46c | 1,535$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.14 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 1,511$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.82 | 1,310 | 50.2%658 W · 652 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 1,458$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.14 | 1,548 | 48.6%753 W · 795 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 1,232$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.35 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 1,228$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 41c | 1,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.91 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 44c | 1,140$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 46c | 1,139$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.59 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 1,137$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.93 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 45c | 1,087$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 1,027$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,286 | 49.4%635 W · 651 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 44c | 785.57$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 695.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 48c | 619.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under | 49c | 593.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.63 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 575.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 46c | 480.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 55c | 476.74$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.21 | 486 | 50.2%244 W · 242 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 45c | 461.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 45c | 444.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.37 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 56c | 436.86$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 56c | 403.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 387 | 41.6%161 W · 226 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 55c | 360.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 45c | 330.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Over | 60c | 327$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 45c | 311.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 1,267 | 58.5%741 W · 526 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 46c | 306.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Over | 45c | 292.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 46c | 263.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…fd62backed Under | 56c | 239.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 217.66$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Over | 46c | 207.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Under | 35c | 200.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 622 | 49.2%306 W · 316 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 46c | 175.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 45c | 175.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 45c | 166.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 46c | 164.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 56c | 154$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 814 | 55%448 W · 366 L | +24.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…f20ebacked Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 35c | 142.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…f631backed Over | 46c | 142.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 45c | 137.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 46c | 137.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 54c | 126.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 125.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 120.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 45c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 113.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…9afabacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…a10bbacked Over | 45c | 109.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…9c71backed Over | 45c | 108.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 105.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 3,036 | 48%1,458 W · 1,578 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 103.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Under | 23c | 101.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 452 | 49.1%222 W · 230 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 597 | 52.6%314 W · 283 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.