TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62f9…c755

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.28
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.17
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.34
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$218.23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$50.41
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.35
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$81.48
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+467.1%+$176.18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.44
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.34
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$235.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,129.95
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.12
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$351
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$64.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$157.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$43.67
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$79.5
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$160.71
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.12
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.08
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$55.19
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.1
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$56.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33%+$41.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.