MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c366201a9a4c559552659f3a4df591ec56d9975d8f300be47e2be29224c8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 173,022$86,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,510.95 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 83,283$36,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,892.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 49,020$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 41,970$20,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,253.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 38,089$18,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,425.49 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 22,532$14,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,374.22 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 21,400$10,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…52dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 18,858$11,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,188.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 16,883$8,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 16,455$9,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,593.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 15,835$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 14,074$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.44 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 13,484$6,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 12,700$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 12,566$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.29 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 11,850$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 11,811$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 11,014$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.21 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 10,784$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,586$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.94 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,200$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 10,014$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.64 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 9,743$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968.75 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 9,688$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 9,040$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.72 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 8,708$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.19 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 7,635$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 7,445$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,804$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.08 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 6,265$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.34 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 6,089$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.81 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,065$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,757$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.07 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,331$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,247$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.99 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,249$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.41 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 4,098$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,090$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 4,027$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 4,006$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 3,935$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 3,929$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,312$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,064$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.83 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,994$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.94 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,936$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,774$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.68 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 2,754$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,700$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,645$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.45 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,487$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.7 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,400$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,276$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.01 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.21 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.8 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,827$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.16 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,780$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.85 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,770$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.51 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,605$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,542$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.3 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,463$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,414$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.98 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,406$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,315$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.11 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,285$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.29 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,236$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…7565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,087$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,021$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.16 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 935.84$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.28 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 916.67$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 905.48$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.08 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 891.57$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.7 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 874$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.48 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 865.87$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 852.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.46 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.