MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa842c6a7072d7434b77bdf6a22cd0faeef91da51b109078c143eb292980f6bb5

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $241,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Under	56c	223,678$125,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,418.45	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+9.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	44c	143,609$63,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,188.16	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over	44c	44,900$19,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,756	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	44c	17,045$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	44c	8,889$3,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,912.88	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	5,555$2,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.7	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	44c	2,761$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.54	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	44c	1,800$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under	54c	1,800$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	44c	1,765$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.78	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	1,596$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.12	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	42c	1,551$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.79	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	46c	999.99$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under	54c	931.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.19	383	53.8%206 W · 177 L	+16.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	45c	887.23$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.67	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	59c	882$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.72	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	686.02$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.52	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	34c	575.19$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.47	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x080b…27a6backed Over	34c	499.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4e…5bf0backed Under	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	31c	433.22$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.89	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	66c	423.57$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.01	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under	52c	399.99$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	55c	341.53$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.69	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e81…e973backed Over	19c	302.19$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.49	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	45c	300$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	252	60.3%152 W · 100 L	+16.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over	47c	299.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	44c	240$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Under	68c	206.07$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.94	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Over	44c	198.53$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.22	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	44c	154$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.76	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	44c	140$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	46c	130.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.76	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under	55c	118.18$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.18	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Over	47c	114.81$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	105	59%62 W · 43 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	230	51.7%119 W · 111 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	45c	107$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	12c	99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	49c	95$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	47c	93.63$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	44c	91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	47c	89.54$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.2	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	54c	78.31$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.02	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91c…bde0backed Under	56c	75.82$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.36	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+30%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	53c	56.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.33	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under	56c	54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.76	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	217	51.6%112 W · 105 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	47c	49.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under	54c	46.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.63	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Under	56c	46.43$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.43	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Over	45c	44.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	47c	37.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under	53c	33.53$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b96…a6d5backed Under	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over	47c	23.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47f…15adbacked Under	59c	21.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under	68c	20.66$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.61	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Under	68c	20.6$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under	71c	19.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.78	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under	79c	17.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.66	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event