TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55d6…1f24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT31258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 312 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.87
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.01
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.21
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$25.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$25.07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Sean Burke: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.13
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.03
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.37
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.01
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.14
Showing 25 of 312 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.26
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.77
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Mariabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.09
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.4
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.9
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.