TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Kickerof Nicolas Kicker, Marco Cecchinato
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Kicker58c8,024$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.1511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Marco Cecchinato53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65018148.1%87 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marco Cecchinato40c3,381$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.359,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Marco Cecchinato19c2,700$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51332935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Marco Cecchinato43c2,202$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.942,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Marco Cecchinato72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marco Cecchinato57c1,681$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.178,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Kicker65c1,361$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.653,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Kicker53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5649,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Nicolas Kicker28c1,023$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.8741535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Marco Cecchinato41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41026554.7%145 W · 120 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Kicker59c925$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.256,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Marco Cecchinato34c880.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025437%94 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Nicolas Kicker29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0772040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Marco Cecchinato25c849.07$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.861,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Marco Cecchinato12c824.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7241748.2%201 W · 216 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Marco Cecchinato37c666$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4219131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Marco Cecchinato34c636.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.351,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Nicolas Kicker63c634.78$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7846650.2%234 W · 232 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolas Kicker73c631.66$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.722,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato29c606.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.85,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Kicker26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4447,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Marco Cecchinato72c490.29$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0110252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Nicolas Kicker51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.228754.7%157 W · 130 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolas Kicker72c484.45$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.254,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfa…950bbacked Marco Cecchinato33c460.17$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Marco Cecchinato36c445.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.511,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marco Cecchinato72c445.36$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.523,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Nicolas Kicker27c346.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.431,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Marco Cecchinato47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Kicker37c315.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.824,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Kicker50c309.36$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.035,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Marco Cecchinato75c300$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Nicolas Kicker35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7114439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Marco Cecchinato72c285.29$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4162752%326 W · 301 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Marco Cecchinato38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Nicolas Kicker69c263$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Marco Cecchinato63c262$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.862,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Nicolas Kicker21c219.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.397236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9811436.8%42 W · 72 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9813337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.988842%37 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9810636.8%39 W · 67 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9811539.1%45 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9810739.3%42 W · 65 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9810038%38 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9812441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Nicolas Kicker28c209.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9810240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Marco Cecchinato32c188.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024431.1%76 W · 168 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Marco Cecchinato43c184.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.487837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Nicolas Kicker28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5719424.2%47 W · 147 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Marco Cecchinato73c173.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Nicolas Kicker28c167.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8645451.3%233 W · 221 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Marco Cecchinato71c166$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8627744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Marco Cecchinato51c149$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.31,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Marco Cecchinato67c148.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Nicolas Kicker35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8624039.2%94 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Nicolas Kicker44c138.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.716248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Marco Cecchinato65c136.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8885568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Marco Cecchinato48c133.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.462,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Kicker27c128.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.677,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Marco Cecchinato31c118.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.371,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Marco Cecchinato72c112.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2132049.1%157 W · 163 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolas Kicker35c105$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.61,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Nicolas Kicker28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.559347.4%281 W · 312 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicolas Kicker28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Marco Cecchinato71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.491,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Marco Cecchinato42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9911145%50 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Nicolas Kicker63c80.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Marco Cecchinato65c79.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.731,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Kicker26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.925,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed Marco Cecchinato66c75.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.710366%68 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Nicolas Kicker29c70.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.14825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Marco Cecchinato75c65.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8915374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Marco Cecchinato52c59.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3195047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marco Cecchinato57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Marco Cecchinato26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Nicolas Kicker26c49.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.742,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Nicolas Kicker59c46.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1147166.5%313 W · 158 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Marco Cecchinato34c43.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.731,31439%512 W · 802 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Marco Cecchinato48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Marco Cecchinato51c36.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8557841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Marco Cecchinato41c36.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Kicker28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Marco Cecchinato31c35.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0238951.2%199 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Nicolas Kicker55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8528168.7%193 W · 88 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marco Cecchinato54c30.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.428,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Nicolas Kicker45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Marco Cecchinato73c27.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4120771%147 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Marco Cecchinato79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7538866.2%257 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Marco Cecchinato72c24.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3472047.9%345 W · 375 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Nicolas Kicker50c23.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5856926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Marco Cecchinato75c22.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720758.5%121 W · 86 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Marco Cecchinato73c17.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Marco Cecchinato72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Marco Cecchinato72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811557.4%66 W · 49 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Marco Cecchinato72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Marco Cecchinato79c14.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.