TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01fa…cea7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT32735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 327 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Martin Krumichbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.73
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.69
Roehampton 2: Leonardo Rossi vs Charles Broombacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$527
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$442
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,205.99
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.43
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,173
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$664
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$527
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.75
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$540
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$75.01
Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moellerbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.83
Warsaw: Vendula Valdmannova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$760.79
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.99
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185.29
Showing 25 of 327 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.94
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$666
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$687.8
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,846.05
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.23
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.65
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.06
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$583.54
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Joventutbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,376.77
Forca Lleida CE vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.75
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.31
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,386.99
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$213.88
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+168%+$1,288.34
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$47.35
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$158.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$1,276.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$974.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$964
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.