TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, All Gamers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked All Gamers52c7,085$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.5212652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked XLG Gaming56c3,340$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed All Gamers39c2,007$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked All Gamers39c1,988$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.417948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed All Gamers24c1,926$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed XLG Gaming62c1,810$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.81030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed All Gamers38c1,657$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6641734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8f…25f5backed XLG Gaming61c1,204$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming60c1,175$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0626738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming62c1,132$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.434857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming41c780.16$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.881,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed XLG Gaming45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.516547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed XLG Gaming71c733.11$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.082556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming50c695.92$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.941,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed XLG Gaming65c648.01$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f15…92b3backed All Gamers62c629.81$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming55c575.73$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed XLG Gaming47c510.1$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6414959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming59c508.52$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.421,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed All Gamers38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19063955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming55c494.64$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1539646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed XLG Gaming61c483.33$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.848357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed All Gamers39c458$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.458349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed All Gamers26c438.29$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.061,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming47c404$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked XLG Gaming61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers38c375.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5355152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed All Gamers38c365.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0828252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming34c352$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5781134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked XLG Gaming59c339.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3919751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed All Gamers38c326.31$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming34c326$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.161,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed All Gamers38c300.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1327145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed All Gamers39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed All Gamers65c297.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4919257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked XLG Gaming69c288.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.976867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed XLG Gaming42c280$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked All Gamers71c279.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.796232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed All Gamers40c263$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8516950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c4…8930backed All Gamers50c262.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed All Gamers70c250.32$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.128852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed All Gamers23c247.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked XLG Gaming45c244.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.349737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming39c237.31$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers58c235.7$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.611,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed XLG Gaming34c233$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7823732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked All Gamers41c231$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4628143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed All Gamers36c230.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0819655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming56c205.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed XLG Gaming75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.058481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed All Gamers40c199.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6921859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed All Gamers51c199.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9211246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming39c197.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed XLG Gaming79c189.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.896552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed All Gamers40c185$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7456551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed XLG Gaming54c184.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked XLG Gaming60c184.08$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.084864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed XLG Gaming72c182.03$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.034165.9%27 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked All Gamers41c181$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming55c178.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3315358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers45c167.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5936145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming54c167.78$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked XLG Gaming60c165.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.918653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed XLG Gaming62c161.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.974860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed All Gamers38c160.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8723733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…ab72backed XLG Gaming62c159.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed XLG Gaming62c158.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3311457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked XLG Gaming55c147.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5621055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed XLG Gaming34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.064242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed XLG Gaming66c146.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4116144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed All Gamers66c145.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.851749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed XLG Gaming56c144.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.82763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked All Gamers40c143.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5110555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked All Gamers39c139.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3660154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked XLG Gaming57c139.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.663461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming60c134.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed All Gamers36c133.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming23c123.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4454342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed All Gamers28c122.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed All Gamers40c119.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7615038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming54c117.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.571,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32c6…b25bbacked XLG Gaming45c110.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+98.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked All Gamers22c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed XLG Gaming41c107.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.488960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked XLG Gaming60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked XLG Gaming32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked All Gamers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked XLG Gaming62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f77…6dc2backed All Gamers21c94.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked XLG Gaming65c93.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1512056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked All Gamers44c93.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.251,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbe…cec2backed XLG Gaming61c91.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.852347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed All Gamers56c88.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.654850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed All Gamers39c86.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2813446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked All Gamers40c85.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.164942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed All Gamers39c84.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7413661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked XLG Gaming61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed All Gamers38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed XLG Gaming26c77.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0421641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed XLG Gaming20c76.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.234517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.