Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2369acb5d5d25a025b1d646ef95864d4d994b02ec7aa5f45b73950c21aa8bd34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof XLG Gaming, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked All Gamers | 76c | 2,918$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.75 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming | 46c | 1,205$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.91 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed XLG Gaming | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed XLG Gaming | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 189.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 22c | 176.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed All Gamers | 50c | 173.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 10c | 173.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming | 35c | 169.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 131.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed XLG Gaming | 11c | 123.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 116.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed All Gamers | 80c | 100.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed All Gamers | 58c | 31.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked All Gamers | 46c | 30.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked All Gamers | 48c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed All Gamers | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.