TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc64…fc2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
381
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT18653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$236.78
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$67.47
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.82
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$65.9
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.71
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$59.13
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked KeepBest Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$67.12
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.03
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$55.87
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.15
Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.46
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.27
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8752.9%46 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gregory Rodrigues win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.11
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.03
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.68
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.24
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.41
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$87.39
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.93
Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.51
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$147.28
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.24
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.63
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$87.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$62.33
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$193.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$45.49
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$63.85
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.28
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$81.28
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$165.71
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$52.29
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$142.62
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$86.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$318.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$220
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.71
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$407.89
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43%+$107.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$56.71
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.