TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, TEC Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed Nova Esports63c74,545$46,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,916.1325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked TEC Esports38c39,545$14,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,933.4412652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed TEC Esports37c39,206$14,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,506.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nova Esports62c25,000$15,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,502.0128955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed TEC Esports38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80010455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked TEC Esports38c8,894$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.7228143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nova Esports62c6,141$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.119860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed TEC Esports38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TEC Esports37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48026738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Nova Esports63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed TEC Esports19c2,141$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377b…0446backed TEC Esports37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed TEC Esports38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Nova Esports67c1,946$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.8449255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Nova Esports63c1,800$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6661030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nova Esports63c1,722$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.2956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed TEC Esports38c1,539$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed TEC Esports38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57013642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked TEC Esports55c1,352$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.9115431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Nova Esports62c1,311$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.275962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8f…25f5backed Nova Esports63c1,175$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nova Esports62c1,147$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.864161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TEC Esports28c1,067$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Nova Esports63c1,032$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7534857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…ab72backed Nova Esports63c1,010$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nova Esports62c1,005$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.925556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed TEC Esports38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked TEC Esports38c802.63$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30529733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TEC Esports37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed TEC Esports38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed TEC Esports37c567.81$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0915038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed TEC Esports16c561.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed TEC Esports16c556.25$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8918735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked TEC Esports38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed TEC Esports38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Nova Esports63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.992556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked TEC Esports13c406.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9315232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Nova Esports63c400.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1711457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed TEC Esports38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Nova Esports62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Nova Esports63c380.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.958246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Nova Esports50c353.35$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed TEC Esports38c326.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports48c306$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked TEC Esports37c299.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TEC Esports37c257.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed TEC Esports39c253.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.994850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed TEC Esports38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports39c245.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7644342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Nova Esports62c224.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.722352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed TEC Esports37c218.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed TEC Esports47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed TEC Esports25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports52c193.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.151,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed TEC Esports9c166.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Nova Esports62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.384339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Nova Esports50c159.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed Nova Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7318952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Nova Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Nova Esports63c158.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.587143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed TEC Esports38c154.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7913661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Nova Esports63c153.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8218653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked Nova Esports61c133.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.484864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TEC Esports38c132.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7860154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Nova Esports62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.414252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Nova Esports59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.225843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed TEC Esports41c115.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked TEC Esports19c108$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Nova Esports65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Nova Esports61c101.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TEC Esports14c101.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked TEC Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6540254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc714…0566backed TEC Esports38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TEC Esports37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3738950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed TEC Esports37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports46c99.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.921,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe408…b5a2backed Nova Esports62c97.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Nova Esports52c95.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.384365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xff95…9064backed Nova Esports63c94.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22bc…a20fbacked Nova Esports77c90.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Nova Esports59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7521454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked TEC Esports38c82.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5220051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbe…cec2backed Nova Esports50c78.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.062347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked TEC Esports38c77.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.416347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Nova Esports63c77.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEC Esports41c74.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.831,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed TEC Esports18c70.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nova Esports62c70.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.664647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Nova Esports62c66.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked TEC Esports38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…aa04backed TEC Esports30c65.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Nova Esports63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4910942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked TEC Esports38c63.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Nova Esports63c60.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3211159.5%66 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked TEC Esports51c60.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked TEC Esports32c55.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6330835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed TEC Esports37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked TEC Esports21c53.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.225466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ad…dffebacked TEC Esports38c52.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed TEC Esports37c51.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0315560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.