Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f8261e42bdc840424d7a3c21c7e0fbd01018589ca4b4a4c14d51e2f635e950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 1,207$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.52 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports | 22c | 1,088$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.7 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Nova Esports | 77c | 705.95$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TEC Esports | 55c | 667$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.03 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 27c | 574.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.89 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed TEC Esports | 77c | 512$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked TEC Esports | 76c | 500$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.86 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked TEC Esports | 73c | 449.95$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked TEC Esports | 43c | 396$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TEC Esports | 71c | 349$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 244.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nova Esports | 37c | 234.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nova Esports | 57c | 207.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked TEC Esports | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports | 68c | 184$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked Nova Esports | 33c | 178.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nova Esports | 26c | 177.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed TEC Esports | 58c | 172.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked TEC Esports | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TEC Esports | 73c | 153.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked TEC Esports | 55c | 138.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 37c | 117.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Nova Esports | 35c | 114.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 35c | 107.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed TEC Esports | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed TEC Esports | 65c | 101.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked TEC Esports | 74c | 94.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed TEC Esports | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports | 56c | 86.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TEC Esports | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports | 39c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed TEC Esports | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TEC Esports | 56c | 73.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Nova Esports | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked TEC Esports | 68c | 64.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nova Esports | 22c | 63.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Nova Esports | 60c | 59.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…7978backed Nova Esports | 42c | 54.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked TEC Esports | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Nova Esports | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 50.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked TEC Esports | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 39.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed TEC Esports | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Nova Esports | 79c | 31.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TEC Esports | 80c | 27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed TEC Esports | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Nova Esports | 67c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TEC Esports | 74c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)TEC Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.