Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3a45f57d9bf35e024fb7b088d1de174c87761e3254de3694b38fa32f74fcd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Nova Esports | 62c | 6,237$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.13 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed TEC Esports | 39c | 2,255$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TEC Esports | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…0446backed TEC Esports | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Nova Esports | 65c | 770.95$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed TEC Esports | 38c | 752$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TEC Esports | 36c | 718.92$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TEC Esports | 22c | 712.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed TEC Esports | 10c | 530.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed TEC Esports | 39c | 483.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Nova Esports | 61c | 477.17$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TEC Esports | 28c | 460.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed TEC Esports | 39c | 366.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports | 69c | 357.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked TEC Esports | 31c | 295.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nova Esports | 60c | 273$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed TEC Esports | 18c | 250.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Nova Esports | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked TEC Esports | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TEC Esports | 39c | 153.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TEC Esports | 25c | 148.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed TEC Esports | 15c | 130.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nova Esports | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed TEC Esports | 37c | 127.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 124.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed TEC Esports | 42c | 114.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked TEC Esports | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 104.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TEC Esports | 19c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked TEC Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TEC Esports | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked TEC Esports | 37c | 94.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 62c | 93.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 64c | 79.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports | 40c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed Nova Esports | 74c | 72.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed TEC Esports | 33c | 62.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nova Esports | 77c | 51.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nova Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TEC Esports | 40c | 45.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Nova Esports | 72c | 41.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports | 74c | 40.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Nova Esports | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Nova Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Nova Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TEC Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nova Esports | 66c | 24.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)TEC Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)Nova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.