TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x377b…0446

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+48%+$270.93
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.91
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.99
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280.56
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$960
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.07
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$1,049.01
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$870
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$915
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,150
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.06
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$545.34
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.53
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$568
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$239.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.06
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.13
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.73
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.48
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.51
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+331.5%+$1,731.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$820
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$305.44
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$79.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,876.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,125
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+780%+$886.37
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$505.08
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$776.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.68
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.71
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.99
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$916.93
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$250
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Total Sets: O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$827.33
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.