TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$941,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,104,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex60c138,268$83,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,547.551,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex35c58,042$20,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,478.0550347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex67c46,457$31,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,125.9613960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid41c41,767$17,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,441.1412259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24be…ad1abacked Team Yandex61c34,496$21,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,042.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,199.994942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid42c18,552$7,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,835.3147146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex39c17,903$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.389341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Yandex17c17,431$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.67731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid39c16,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,759.977548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d36…f787backed Team Liquid36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.941450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Yandex14c14,318$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.5220030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex50c13,923$6,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,963.821,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Liquid39c13,524$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.579636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid69c13,275$9,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.545339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid39c12,633$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,648.5471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex64c11,621$7,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,415.296050%30 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid33c11,470$3,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,684.94837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid40c9,897$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.1788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Team Liquid38c9,791$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.051650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid42c8,966$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,168.8712159.5%72 W · 49 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Liquid69c8,260$5,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex45c8,115$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.6225446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid40c7,427$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.2841056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Yandex65c7,407$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.546553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Team Liquid79c7,153$5,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Yandex54c7,092$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.1324154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid40c7,070$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.7912348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid39c6,998$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.031,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Team Liquid70c6,900$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.25572.7%40 W · 15 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid51c6,688$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.7718844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Yandex57c6,554$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.1219853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex42c6,484$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70050850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team Liquid39c6,200$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78210045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid33c6,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9756542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Liquid34c5,819$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.413633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid39c5,400$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,29480056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Yandex61c5,400$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.993348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid39c5,374$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.3717546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex61c5,217$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.3422663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Liquid40c5,028$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.85137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05024246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex75c4,901$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.4135850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex35c4,666$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.111,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Yandex62c4,200$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6043256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Liquid78c4,074$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.6823336.9%86 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Team Liquid71c4,005$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.6710544.8%47 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.9727153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex17c3,733$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65047450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid39c3,615$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.331936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex27c3,540$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9578348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Yandex56c3,525$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.999643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Team Yandex30c3,500$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.587234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Yandex66c3,357$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.4517648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid43c3,347$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.947142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid50c3,225$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.8758742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Team Liquid33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.34650%23 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid38c3,020$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.277941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80053758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Liquid35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.052045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Yandex21c2,999$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.559658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid42c2,948$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.2696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex67c2,868$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.799556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…84debacked Team Yandex41c2,800$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1412556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid39c2,764$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.0456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid72c2,705$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.249658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid43c2,670$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.1790753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid76c2,633$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.614258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Liquid33c2,552$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.0816841.1%69 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex27c2,550$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9350449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Yandex62c2,491$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.1812350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Liquid80c2,452$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.726581.5%53 W · 12 L+10.2wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+23.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid36c2,250$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Team Liquid55c2,250$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid61c2,213$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.4547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid22c2,201$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.7365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Liquid41c2,174$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.0410437.5%39 W · 65 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid69c2,165$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.2116641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3187…70cebacked Team Yandex2c2,115$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed09…e314backed Team Yandex67c2,069$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.071457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked Team Liquid71c2,065$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.852138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Liquid80c2,009$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7612060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid39c2,001$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9961256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Liquid33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34012048.3%58 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a5…db43backed Team Yandex22c2,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.997452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Team Liquid39c1,977$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.7420233.2%67 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid53c1,924$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.0368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid52c1,920$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex57c1,887$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.781,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Team Liquid33c1,836$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.366841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9931444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Team Liquid73c1,750$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.973050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid51c1,719$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.711,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Team Yandex9c1,700$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.54422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid37c1,699$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9271142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Team Liquid61c1,643$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.596564.6%42 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.