Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x686b0d95cc5cbf801217effad1a2bdea98d84ba7d6c54b141e55fe1d9ff69b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 4,582$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.79 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,722$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.94 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 39c | 2,536$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,724$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.45 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…b406backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,679$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 925.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Team Yandex | 34c | 774.72$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 494.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 480.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 412.15$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 336.74$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Liquid | 62c | 327.72$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Yandex | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Team Liquid | 38c | 132.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex | 33c | 129.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Yandex | 36c | 119.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Team Yandex | 36c | 105.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Liquid | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 93.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…3c54backed Team Liquid | 66c | 86.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Liquid | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 83.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed Team Liquid | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Yandex | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Liquid | 48c | 78.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 192 | 60.4%116 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Team Liquid | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Team Yandex | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 61.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Liquid | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid | 64c | 56.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Team Liquid | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 47.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…138abacked Team Yandex | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Team Yandex | 37c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Team Liquid | 64c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Team Yandex | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Liquid | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Team Yandex | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Yandex | 76c | 28.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 427 | 67%286 W · 141 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Team Yandex | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…b8ecbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Team Yandex | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 70c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.