TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$774,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex58c83,180$48,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,091.651,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24be…ad1abacked Team Yandex77c32,372$24,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,579.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid44c23,987$10,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,588.223435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid34c23,355$7,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,945.5789741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked Team Liquid11c18,400$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.51731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid37c15,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid34c13,023$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.661,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex65c10,306$6,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.671,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid35c9,996$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.8469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332b…af19backed Team Liquid34c9,480$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…5de0backed Team Liquid6c9,366$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.663619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex57c7,126$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.2425446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Liquid33c7,000$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.785048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid39c6,396$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.7241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid47c6,314$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.639658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid16c5,586$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.3320030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid45c5,377$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.4689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Team Liquid34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.063046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid39c4,815$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.6212858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex62c4,683$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.3945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Yandex76c4,638$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.27379.5%58 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed Team Liquid39c4,595$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+89.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex64c4,509$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.4548954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Yandex62c4,386$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.6711753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex66c4,340$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.2653451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex65c4,190$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.4718950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid43c4,165$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.081,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid33c3,950$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.4910540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid37c3,922$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.4335737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Liquid18c3,668$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.172828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid48c3,617$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.557142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Team Liquid56c3,559$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017550.9%89 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid44c3,411$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.1368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Liquid41c3,164$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex78c3,146$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.1530667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Liquid44c2,934$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex62c2,783$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.7622663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Team Yandex68c2,711$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.2310256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid39c2,508$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6479859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid41c2,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid40c2,307$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.8496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Liquid43c2,290$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8731052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Yandex71c2,240$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9218660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Liquid43c2,230$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.6810245.1%46 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid48c2,101$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid48c2,031$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.3950749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid37c2,001$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8821146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Team Liquid49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.8wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-64.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid44c1,878$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.6691553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex63c1,865$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1916641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex74c1,786$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1535960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid44c1,717$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.2477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Liquid33c1,666$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.869852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Team Yandex60c1,608$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.216547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid36c1,560$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.9423561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex63c1,547$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.8512263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Yandex59c1,522$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0410458.7%61 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid48c1,500$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.581,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid39c1,460$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.881,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Liquid1c1,459$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4578516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7119456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid46c1,432$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.3693546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0c…5f05backed Team Yandex53c1,400$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6652245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex57c1,391$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4950850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid55c1,358$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.8832548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Liquid55c1,348$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7426440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Yandex61c1,337$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2417648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Liquid1c1,313$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Yandex65c1,283$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.2322543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid34c1,269$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.435850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid27c1,266$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8647748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid55c1,254$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Liquid43c1,233$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7826247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid38c1,200$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6128251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da8…28e1backed Team Liquid2c1,182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Team Yandex60c1,135$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.886163.9%39 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid43c1,106$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48048843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked Team Yandex47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed Team Liquid33c1,008$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7915054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex61c1,003$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9435758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Yandex60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011142.3%47 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacc1…3ce0backed Team Liquid2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.543218.8%6 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Yandex67c992.1$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.116959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex61c984.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8114657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48f…e9b9backed Team Yandex54c945.22$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid2c934.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9237811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Team Yandex50c922$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46128347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c78…4cb9backed Team Liquid49c867.21$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Liquid33c853.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7347548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid38c834.82$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2158943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Yandex60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.336870.6%48 W · 20 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Liquid38c814.33$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9617040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid35c797.69$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b08…053bbacked Team Liquid37c790$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.852138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9cf…4319backed Team Yandex57c780$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.421250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex74c747.28$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.288658.1%50 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a4…ce65backed Team Liquid41c726.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014858.1%86 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.