TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e44…21bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,123
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT79859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 798 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winnerbacked DYNASTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.49
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$302.95
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winnerbacked DYNASTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.93
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.07
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.05
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.23
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.87
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$235.81
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$658.7
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$639.34
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.91
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$552.58
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$415.92
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$540.23
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$411.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$1,660.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,383.1
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$859.76
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41%+$332.71
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,064.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,784Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42%+$1,589.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$132.6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$298.03
Showing 25 of 798 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT30357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 303 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+280.2%+$817.58
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.27
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,907.52
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$839
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$523.55
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$286
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$399.77
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$519.41
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.74
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$305.66
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.72
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.82
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.91
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$293.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+86%+$555
Showing 25 of 303 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$477.76
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.33
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.4
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+64%+$189.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.64
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$222
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$344.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$188
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$206
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$313.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$209.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.