Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa674c1b1cd5d02ea5bfc9d41ad3aa13de930da92de17cd7be3418ccd79bc2a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PuckChampof PuckChamp, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed PuckChamp | 61c | 4,337$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.94 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 48c | 4,044$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.48 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 2,500$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.29 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 2,022$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 37c | 1,685$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.92 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 1,400$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 1,379$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed PuckChamp | 53c | 1,343$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked PuckChamp | 44c | 1,318$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PuckChamp | 50c | 1,272$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed PuckChamp | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed PuckChamp | 53c | 1,046$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 1,018$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed PuckChamp | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.9 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed PuckChamp | 63c | 999.99$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 967$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 926.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 908.76$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 800$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 713.86$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.3 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 634.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 608.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed PuckChamp | 66c | 608.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 599.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked PuckChamp | 46c | 575.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 571.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 554.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 540.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 520.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 505.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 470.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 422$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed PuckChamp | 56c | 413.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed PuckChamp | 67c | 407.62$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed PuckChamp | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 392.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 386.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 380.35$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…df55backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 353.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 335$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 324.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 317.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 305$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PuckChamp | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 297.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 295.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 293.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 292.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 256.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 252.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed PuckChamp | 61c | 237.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed PuckChamp | 53c | 236.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked PuckChamp | 53c | 221$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 212.6$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed PuckChamp | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 203.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PuckChamp | 44c | 203.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PuckChamp | 47c | 186.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 48c | 181.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 59c | 172.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 171$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 170.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked PuckChamp | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 169.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 165.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…c6a7backed PuckChamp | 29c | 161$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 157.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8238backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 154.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 142.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 140.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 129.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 127.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…f1e1backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 126.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed PuckChamp | 52c | 124.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 120.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 113.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 100.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 99.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed PuckChamp | 49c | 99.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 91.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked PuckChamp | 42c | 90.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 90.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked PuckChamp | 51c | 87.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 86.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…17bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 84.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 83.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.