TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ccf…f1e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.16
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$6.29
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Playoffsbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$6.01
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$9.75
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$4.53
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.12
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$6.57
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$4.64
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$25.08
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$26.87
LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$16.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$2.99
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.4
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.64
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$9.98
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.