Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff76d2e68a529135151ae20b96bd0656dea282c1653623f0c2ccfba7ec66fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 27c | 226,430$61,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,676.91 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 186,744$135,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,319.75 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed MOUZ | 26c | 20,046$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 16,000$11,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 11,434$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.82 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed MOUZ | 25c | 6,808$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MOUZ | 25c | 6,783$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.81 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 6,200$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 6,079$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.38 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 6,024$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 5,679$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed MOUZ | 23c | 4,761$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.72 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 4,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed MOUZ | 19c | 2,996$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.61 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 2,760$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…c640backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,695$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.82 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,668$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.83 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,601$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.21 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 2,364$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.41 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 2,191$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.57 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,029$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.24 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…f6fdbacked MOUZ | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,000$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.37 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 1,670$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 1,491$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.89 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 11c | 1,427$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,395$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.73 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 1,310$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,288$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.65 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 78c | 1,198$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,193$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,165$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 982.43$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed MOUZ | 22c | 969.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 946.63$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 925.5$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 915.12$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 16c | 891.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 886.84$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed MOUZ | 10c | 880$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 22c | 866.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked LGD Gaming | 78c | 860.53$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MOUZ | 11c | 856.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed MOUZ | 17c | 850$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 813.74$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 26c | 799.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 16c | 796.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 8c | 776.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ | 14c | 776.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…2fe1backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 758.34$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 24c | 755.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ | 27c | 729.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MOUZ | 15c | 696.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 680$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 673.64$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 666$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed MOUZ | 23c | 649.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 643.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MOUZ | 14c | 640.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 639$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 635.08$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 588.7$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 582.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ | 15c | 580.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MOUZ | 14c | 579.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 24c | 571.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 503.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed MOUZ | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked MOUZ | 25c | 489.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 477.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed MOUZ | 13c | 439$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ | 26c | 406.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked MOUZ | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked MOUZ | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed MOUZ | 24c | 386.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 13c | 361.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed MOUZ | 25c | 348.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 330.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 329.34$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked MOUZ | 24c | 312.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.