Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe579bb949b5ad8c6b2d9cf497d192d91b558c61104249020ffea7bd2868fa5cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 10,530$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.01 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 5,010$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.92 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 52c | 3,153$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.45 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 2,783$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.59 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,865$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,831$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 1,319$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 1,264$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.23 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,136$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 985.77$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 886.03$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.36 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 783.4$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed MOUZ | 54c | 775.76$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 692.75$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed MOUZ | 48c | 682.5$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 33c | 615.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed MOUZ | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed MOUZ | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…c4d0backed MOUZ | 54c | 556.63$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed MOUZ | 54c | 517.11$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MOUZ | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 504.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 499.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 494.48$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed MOUZ | 52c | 459.3$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked MOUZ | 54c | 456.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…e432backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 435.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 399.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 46c | 349.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked MOUZ | 48c | 309.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed MOUZ | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 258.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed MOUZ | 21c | 251.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked MOUZ | 45c | 243.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 236.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 229.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed MOUZ | 54c | 184.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 51c | 160.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed MOUZ | 50c | 156.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed MOUZ | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MOUZ | 53c | 152.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed MOUZ | 52c | 149.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed MOUZ | 21c | 125.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 52c | 116.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 115.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 110.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MOUZ | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked MOUZ | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 97.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed MOUZ | 50c | 95.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c14…370dbacked LGD Gaming | 79c | 88.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 82.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 79.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed MOUZ | 49c | 76.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed MOUZ | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ | 49c | 73.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked MOUZ | 45c | 73.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ | 23c | 73.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MOUZ | 30c | 67.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 65.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 64.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 63.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 63.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed MOUZ | 45c | 60.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 55.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…ed81backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 54.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MOUZ | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked MOUZ | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 48.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ | 51c | 46.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…59f1backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 45.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.