TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62d5…bc0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
765
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT26457.2%151 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$44.41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65%+$19.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.7
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$55.81
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$59.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$16.77
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$8.04
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 214 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$68.05
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$40.43
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 214 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20654.4%112 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
World Cup Finals: Coin Toss Resultbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+623.9%+$603.3
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$161.22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$332.61
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$115.29
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.08
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.81
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+109%+$250.96
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$43.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$130.79
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$330
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$21.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+93%+$27.89
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$12.04
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$63.07
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$46.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$13.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$51.72
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$76.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$39.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$8.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$307
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$130.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$471.87
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,941.8%+$582.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$23.07
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$11.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+463.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+463.2%+$1,317.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$22.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.