TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c27,504$19,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,891.861,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c14,823$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.772,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over69c6,831$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.181,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c6,504$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.049021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c5,610$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.713,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under18c4,014$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.6914637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under29c3,882$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.072751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under29c2,791$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.3638144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c2,500$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.6166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over73c2,233$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1355845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over72c2,179$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.492,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under14c2,080$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Under14c1,810$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3170%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under4c1,786$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c1,717$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Under12c1,433$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under7c1,331$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Over66c1,152$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.611747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under18c1,076$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.754264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over70c902.25$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.382,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under11c875$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under14c861.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.842528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under29c793.03$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under34c773.53$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under24c699.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under10c661.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eac…694fbacked Under6c625$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under15c595.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.312657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under31c550.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6831856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over71c517$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9517233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under16c443.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under13c384.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c304.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4310627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6535…dd25backed Under33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c297.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.727545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under9c270.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0335944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under11c228.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4211260.7%68 W · 44 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c227$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.11,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under15c214.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…1c47backed Under13c206.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5344156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under34c143.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0553564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under32c142.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7412548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over72c138.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8929337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under29c137.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4229654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over72c137.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5729959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under30c136.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2965549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over80c123.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.848446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Under10c119.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under17c114.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under34c109.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.137043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under11c102.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under30c94.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.271,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under27c91.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288121%17 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ad52backed Under34c83.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under27c81.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1758061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under30c80.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2979354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under25c59.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under28c58.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.492040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Over57c57.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under33c54.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.954247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Over64c45.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under31c44.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.748366.3%55 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1827554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.255100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over74c40.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.335752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under33c37.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.516443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over72c37.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.727146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3612…3302backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over67c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78755.2%48 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick76cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over80c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over67c19.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.645135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45a8…5aedbacked Over71c19.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over65c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2736356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over80c16.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.236552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over80c12.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.535444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25a…93d3backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.