Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7e7da0c09c9535c5b5fcbee7913c8ce7f9b4972bb6fa6f05693c71c150d0e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, FC St. Gallen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 70c | 10,901$7,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.16 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Gallen | 30c | 9,497$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 74c | 1,350$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC St. Gallen | 32c | 1,319$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 1,319$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC St. Gallen | 31c | 1,222$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 70c | 1,068$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC St. Gallen | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 61c | 723.98$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC St. Gallen | 32c | 541.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed FC St. Gallen | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FC St. Gallen | 32c | 479.52$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 69c | 448$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC St. Gallen | 33c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC St. Gallen | 31c | 263.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 246.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC St. Gallen | 32c | 242.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC St. Gallen | 31c | 227.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 207.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed FC St. Gallen | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC St. Gallen | 31c | 193.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed FC St. Gallen | 32c | 181.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FC St. Gallen | 13c | 175.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 141.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 123.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC St. Gallen | 31c | 119.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 119.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 115.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC St. Gallen | 31c | 108.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked FC St. Gallen | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FC St. Gallen | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FC St. Gallen | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…5996backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC St. Gallen | 33c | 64.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 69c | 48.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 73c | 46.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed FC St. Gallen | 31c | 46.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…0662backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 41.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC St. Gallen | 39c | 33.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC St. Gallen | 39c | 33.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 69c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to AdvanceSport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.