Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44abee01a2fed3307a3f0e783e8292116553f047ccf31c6d7d1b723fa37945da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 49c | 5,571$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,879$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 37c | 4,764$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.2 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 1,836$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.72 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,168$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.93 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 998.43$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.28 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 11c | 855.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 689.07$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 519.29$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.4 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 482.55$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.28 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 50c | 380.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 43c | 359.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 302.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 297.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 238.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 44c | 227.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 49c | 221.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 49c | 204.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 192.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 39c | 180.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 54c | 168.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 42c | 130.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 54c | 125.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 116.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 49c | 90.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 84.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 48.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3144…9502backed Yes | 44c | 38.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 46c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…9394backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…60bcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 54c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to AdvanceSport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.