Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdabe8bc1041cf9954fe1acec9a9be4db86d923a7bbc629966bb14b7939c1700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 18,869$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.61 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 61c | 16,810$10,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.27 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 10,015$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 68c | 4,124$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.23 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 75c | 2,626$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 3c | 2,194$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 1,925$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 26c | 1,672$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.43 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 1,262$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 37c | 1,235$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 17c | 1,033$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 1,002$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 38c | 999.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Over | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 74c | 832.87$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 679.65$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 647.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 10c | 556$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 19c | 518.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 77c | 515.1$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 66c | 454.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 375.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 74c | 346.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 77c | 327.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 23c | 304.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 300.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 255.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 80c | 251.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…b2d2backed Under | 68c | 244.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Under | 78c | 203.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 17c | 200.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 17c | 192.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 70c | 186.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Under | 61c | 138.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 104.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 75c | 100.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 75c | 95.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 42c | 94.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 43c | 93.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 41c | 90.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 63c | 89.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Under | 80c | 79.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…9407backed Under | 67c | 66.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 26c | 62.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 57.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 41c | 36.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 41c | 30.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to AdvanceSport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.