TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, FC St. Gallen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica78c2,347$1,827 inWon+$519.812,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed FC St. Gallen14c2,130$298 inLost-$298.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC St. Gallen18c1,433$257 inLost-$257.151,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FC St. Gallen19c1,432$272 inLost-$272.0616746.7%78 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC St. Gallen20c977.19$195 inLost-$194.5779732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked FC St. Gallen18c972.81$170 inLost-$170.387440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked FC St. Gallen17c826.1$144 inLost-$143.869548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed FC St. Gallen18c648.74$117 inLost-$116.773154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked FC St. Gallen17c588.24$100 inLost-$100319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FC St. Gallen18c588$106 inLost-$105.8496947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed FC St. Gallen16c473.28$76 inLost-$75.721250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed FC St. Gallen18c329.59$58 inLost-$58.2766250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FC St. Gallen17c310$53 inLost-$52.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed FC St. Gallen18c196.83$35 inLost-$35.4360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed FC St. Gallen18c165.05$29 inLost-$29.0626417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3144…9502backed FC St. Gallen19c153.74$29 inLost-$29.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FC St. Gallen18c135.12$24 inLost-$24.2378544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked FC St. Gallen24c112.97$28 inLost-$27.555236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec3d…1079backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica79c100$79 inWon+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FC St. Gallen17c91.22$16 inLost-$15.5197846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked FC St. Gallen21c90.32$19 inLost-$19.43246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd0…4200backed FC St. Gallen18c61.11$11 inLost-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.