TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, FC St. Gallen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica48c52,384$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,383.822347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FC St. Gallen52c18,110$9,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,417.442,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed FC St. Gallen55c16,002$8,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,750.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica48c5,738$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.281,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FC St. Gallen53c5,369$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.3556849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2404060%24 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica42c3,569$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.151,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FC St. Gallen52c3,000$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5451,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked FC St. Gallen54c2,500$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.3869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed FC St. Gallen54c2,328$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.9266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.222045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Gallen55c2,030$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.883,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed FC St. Gallen51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0209754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica45c1,902$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.117233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked FC St. Gallen53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00710249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed FC St. Gallen53c1,562$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.159152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked FC St. Gallen56c1,293$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c1,234$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.032259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.369538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FC St. Gallen53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC St. Gallen53c943$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC St. Gallen53c943$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.791,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC St. Gallen54c924.32$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.441,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FC St. Gallen51c735$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.738144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked FC St. Gallen57c625.19$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3615224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica54c566.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.412,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica36c420$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.83141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica41c384.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c320.25$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.342,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed FC St. Gallen53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503010%3 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked FC St. Gallen51c276$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8218732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed FC St. Gallen63c204.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.835358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked FC St. Gallen57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+238.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed FC St. Gallen56c196.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4529654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica37c194.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5312832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FC St. Gallen52c179.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2950154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica45c167.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9429337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed FC St. Gallen53c167$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.519050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica39c159.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.381553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb826…1f85backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica71c140.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.646240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c113.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC St. Gallen15c111.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c110.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9929959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica73c109.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6631856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed FC St. Gallen59c109.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8258061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed FC St. Gallen59c109.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed FC St. Gallen52c100.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.38042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked FC St. Gallen52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed FC St. Gallen52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked FC St. Gallen55c85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8353564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed FC St. Gallen51c72.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked FC St. Gallen16c69.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.028446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica50c61.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC St. Gallen56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica79c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed FC St. Gallen53c52.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed FC St. Gallen53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed FC St. Gallen53c47.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed FC St. Gallen50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47166.2%47 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed FC St. Gallen52c31.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed FC St. Gallen57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed FC St. Gallen58c28.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x080a…a7e9backed FC St. Gallen59c27.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd01…245fbacked FC St. Gallen56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica45c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.756456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC St. Gallen52c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5281440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.448840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c21.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.943455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked FC St. Gallen50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911c…87bcbacked FC St. Gallen60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick62cpaid-61.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.