TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36b3…fc6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
386
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT28528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 285 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,709.78
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$87.82
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$582.35
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$411.11
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$113.33
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$425.45
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$176.07
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: England (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$81.26
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$2,300
Showing 25 of 285 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.26
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)backed SK Iberia 1999 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$201.6
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
Exact Score: Górnik Zabrze 0 - 2 Fenerbahçe SK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)backed KF Víkingur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.15
Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 1 KF Víkingur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.52
Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 KÍ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 2 AS Omónoia Leukosías?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 1 AS Omónoia Leukosías?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.48
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$231.43
Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 0 AS Omónoia Leukosías?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 3 - 0 Larne FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$40
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$236.14
Exact Score: Heart of Midlothian FC 0 - 2 SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+3,201.9%+$1,120.67
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$148.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to Advancebacked FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 2 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 2 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 3 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 3 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 1 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 1 FC St. Gallen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 1 - 2 Hammarby Fotboll?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 0 - 2 Hammarby Fotboll?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Páfos FC 0 - 3 HNK Hajduk Split?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Páfos FC 1 - 2 HNK Hajduk Split?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Páfos FC 0 - 2 HNK Hajduk Split?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+326%+$406.8
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$21.87
Exact Score: Rīga FC 2 - 0 FK Vardar Skopje?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Exact Score: Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 1 RSC Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$284.43
Exact Score: BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$607
Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Exact Score: IK Sirius 2 - 0 IFK Goteborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: IK Sirius 1 - 0 IFK Goteborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 1 - 2 Hammarby IF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 1 Hammarby IF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 2 Hammarby IF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 0 Hammarby IF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed IF Brommapojkarna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$452.63
Exact Score: Vasteraas SK 2 - 1 Orgryte IS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Vasteraas SK 1 - 0 Orgryte IS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed Hamarkameratene · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.5
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.