TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No46c36,470$16,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,7763644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed No43c20,553$8,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,837.945650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes55c11,710$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,233.2715045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c8,333$4,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.781,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c7,137$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.448,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c6,860$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.411,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes54c6,532$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.5119846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes54c5,615$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.921,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes57c5,509$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.8634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c5,359$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.695,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No4c4,398$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.866412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No44c4,115$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.77950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes55c3,463$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.3775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No9c3,321$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.446251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No18c3,170$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes49c3,060$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c2,752$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.143,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No43c2,665$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes56c2,603$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.481,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No10c2,589$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c2,269$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.642,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No39c2,212$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2226835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes56c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No3c1,788$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes56c1,774$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.711,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No59c1,422$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.9510875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes80c1,322$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No31c1,200$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0119447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No45c1,091$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.824040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No41c996.94$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.662,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes74c996.01$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.054852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No32c990.77$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4310828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.112,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No41c858.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No28c800.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes58c678$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.653180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes56c678$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.064770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No43c651.16$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes57c633.26$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes54c611$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0631039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No31c565.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.314456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No4c551.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.065957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Yes76c509.83$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.411442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes68c506.48$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes68c506.47$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No43c504.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.052450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No33c504$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No53c483.97$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes55c473.87$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No60c462.72$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes54c416.08$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.71,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed No24c411.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes74c405.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.646753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No12c399.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes54c385$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No44c377.41$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c363$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.981,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes75c362.2$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8911354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No32c359.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c345.15$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.671,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c343.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5616641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes57c333.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes47c323$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No19c314.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9412740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes66c283.17$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes59c268.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.316864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes73c220.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes77c212.57$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.534337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked No44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9910158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes51c196.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.075540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes58c192.7$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No31c192.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4121538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes57c186$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Yes59c152.72$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eca…cfccbacked Yes67c141.02$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No20c138.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4418446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes55c134.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes57c129.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes53c129.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes59c124.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No42c115.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7125955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes66c115$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.321,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes58c112.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.079158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes60c112$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.85129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9619543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6735246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes63c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes68c93.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5615364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes54c93.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8516160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0deb…f76ebacked No19c90.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.