TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc243…5e94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,280
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT26067.3%175 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.86
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+94%+$13.08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$14.24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$14.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$17.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$27.01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$26.62
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+55%+$21.37
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT14637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Dimitar Kisimov vs Kristijan Juhasbacked Kristijan Juhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.44
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$245.07
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souzabacked Luiza Fullana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.54
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$230.1
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Stefan Horia Haitabacked Stefan Horia Haita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$39.53
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.4
Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$238.05
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.31
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.05
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$288.75
ITF Roehampton: Jodie Anna Burrage vs Hiromi Abebacked Hiromi Abe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Ander Tarrio Pontebacked Ander Tarrio Ponte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+179%+$101.88
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williamsbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.85
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$159.05
National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$234.33
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT14249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+76%+$26.39
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.42
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.38
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$14.86
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.13
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.27
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$7.48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$19.86
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$37.98
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$92.1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.72
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$41.92
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53%+$19.59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$96.86
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$32.48
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.26
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.52
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.36
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50.88
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$158.48
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.48
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.48
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$227.69
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.65
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$73.92
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.96
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$306.23
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$112
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$137.61
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT8651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$67.23
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$183.36
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$59.86
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$155.76
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.24
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.86
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$255.75
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$162.98
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$218.55
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$221.25
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$79.99
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.37
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.95
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$9.89
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.77
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$160.16
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.05
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.02
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$179.13
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6850%34 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$39.21
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$35.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$14.27
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$22.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$5.86
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$8.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$30.2
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.33
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$6.42
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.47
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$23.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$7.02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$135.89
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Stockslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6560%39 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$24.14
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$29.65
Will Meta (META) close at $550-$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$34.1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.52
Will Meta (META) finish week of August 10 above $590?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.92
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 10 above $174?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.84
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.61
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of July 6 above $245?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will Meta (META) close above $590 on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$80.99
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $280?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+166%+$38.06
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6141%25 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 10 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42%+$13.91
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$42.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$73.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$40.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$79.49
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$34.14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$63.53
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.63
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.44
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.95
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+309.2%+$66.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$5.08
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$24.19
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.78
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$34.93
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$44.01
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$38.12
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$57.23
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$107.39
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.94
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.05
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$33.02
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$35.33
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$14.97
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.27
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.4
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$232.78
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$5.08
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$231
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$177.1
Will Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$43.71
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)backed AA Estudiantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.5
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.34
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.41
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.32
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Tigres de la UANL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.22
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$114.4
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50.64
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)backed Club Always Ready · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$175.44
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.25
Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.24
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.56
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.63
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.13
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.62
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$49.56
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.08
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$122.48
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.1
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.04
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.36
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+59%+$50.37
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St Mirren FC vs. St Johnstone FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$190.32
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)backed AC Horsens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$363.16
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$160.6
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.03
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
AC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.88
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.44
Djurgardens IF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.71
IFK Goteborg vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.86
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.65
Will IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.46
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$78
Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)backed Kristiansund BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.08
Will Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 25 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be 360k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$22.48
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$31.15
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.91
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$41.48
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$46.61
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+368.2%+$51.98
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$23.9
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$16.67
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$10.02
Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$6.3
Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$8.44
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$21.1
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.28
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$29.61
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.18
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.44
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.3
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+540.7%+$58.23
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.83
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40%+$27.42
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+268.7%+$29.87
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+285.7%+$97.04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$52.56
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+623.9%+$81.88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.59
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$13.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$7.43
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+368.6%+$73.94
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$9.69
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$6.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.31
Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.8
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.78
FC St. Gallen vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$211.5
FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.9
FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
FC Santa Coloma vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$81.09
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$180.12
FK Dynamo Kyiv leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.84
Marsaxlokk FC vs. Pyunik FA: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Linfield FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47%+$46.35
FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.2
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.24
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: NIP vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$95.2
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.4
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.88
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$243.75
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$174.98
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$302.25
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.92
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$45.8
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$283.65
Spread: Larne FC (-2.5)backed Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.8
Will The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.32
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.36
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$39.48
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$29.7
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$54.06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$10.89
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$18.08
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$28.02
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.4
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.25
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will CoStar (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+180%+$25.07
Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.91
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$17.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$9.31
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.71
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$36.44
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51%+$27.71
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$24.05
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$8.4
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$4.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$24.44
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$2.91
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$55.29
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$23.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$17.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$68.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$7.43
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$44.62
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$17.55
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.74
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$5.89
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$26.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+136.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.