CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4d0a9d818984e7467f8b3b92ea85da2fac0af2473c21fba87942fa4deffea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Just Players | 31c | 2,278$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.71 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 1,355$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Just Players | 24c | 1,172$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 999.08$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Just Players | 44c | 868$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 811.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.47 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 698.41$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.17 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 22c | 520.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Just Players | 35c | 422.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 346$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Just Players | 16c | 340$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Just Players | 38c | 332.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Just Players | 28c | 288.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 19c | 245.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 230.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Just Players | 44c | 220.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 204.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 21c | 195.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 44c | 195.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Just Players | 11c | 161.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Just Players | 28c | 158.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 26c | 157.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Just Players | 53c | 144.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Just Players | 19c | 124.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 121.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Just Players | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Just Players | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 98.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Just Players | 44c | 95.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Just Players | 32c | 91.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Just Players | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 76.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 64.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Just Players | 31c | 61.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 57.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 39c | 56.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 41c | 50.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Just Players | 38c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 49.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Just Players | 72c | 48.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Just Players | 37c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 47c | 35.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Just Players | 53c | 34.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 33.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed Just Players | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 29.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Just Players | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Just Players | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.