CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a74115689d41466b842a6a72c8b955d0e2ba95c0aa4bfd1e0fb2947961c3b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 4,839$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Just Players | 1c | 3,151$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Just Players | 16c | 1,644$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Just Players | 32c | 1,493$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.24 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Just Players | 6c | 1,461$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Just Players | 31c | 564.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Just Players | 13c | 456.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Just Players | 5c | 444.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Just Players | 27c | 386.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Just Players | 31c | 383$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Just Players | 40c | 376.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22d…878fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 276.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 252.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 250.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Just Players | 40c | 207.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Just Players | 31c | 198.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Just Players | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Just Players | 17c | 137.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 14c | 137$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 17c | 131.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 114.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked Just Players | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Just Players | 33c | 102.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Just Players | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Just Players | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 79.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 77.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Just Players | 32c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Just Players | 31c | 62.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Just Players | 34c | 62.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Just Players | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 33c | 54.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 45.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Just Players | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.