TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2892…71dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,723
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT27729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 277 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+631.5%+$4,615.86
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.81
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+365.6%+$701.9
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.7
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$34.39
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 277 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT25642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 256 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,541.4%+$816.93
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$34.98
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,014.7%+$9,136.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.87
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Jalen Brunson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$71.22
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NBA Finals: Will there be a Breen Bang in Game 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 256 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT19532.8%64 W · 131 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will "Mutiny" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+444.3%+$155.51
Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$36.61
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$54.61
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+243.2%+$948.49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.24
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+239.3%+$149.45
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Odyssey" on Hot Ones?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$12.31
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT17741.8%74 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Girl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$615.38
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+176.4%+$121.73
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.77
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.09
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$218.39
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+239.5%+$40.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.54
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.01
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.66
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.51
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200.76
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.16
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+131%+$45.87
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$51.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$30.57
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+146%+$72.98
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$32.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$43.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10950.5%55 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.77
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$25.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+224.2%+$62.78
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+334.2%+$201.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.39
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$41.32
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$36.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT7338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$82.59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$23.89
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$80.38
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41%+$7.37
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+167.4%+$25.11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.57
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$9.53
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+636.5%+$127.31
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+200.3%+$100.15
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+95%+$49.4
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.47
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.93
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$57.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$54.61
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+589.4%+$267.72
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$187.56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$149.32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$145.06
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.71
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$30.11
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 300FPS vs BANGARANGA (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked 300FPS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$10.81
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.16
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.66
Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)backed Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)backed Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs JUMBO TEAM (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs ENJOY (+1.5)backed Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$26.88
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$49.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+223.4%+$22.34
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+68.4%+$1,367.69
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+198.8%+$457.2
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$11.38
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.3
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Manish Sureshkumar vs Hiromasa Koyamabacked Manish Sureshkumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$26.72
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Cabos Open: Michael Zheng vs Martin Landalucebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$32.62
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$17.23
Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dostanic vs. Samuel: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+211.5%+$84.62
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+101.5%+$55.18
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.64
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.45
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.35
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$64.39
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.52
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$9.56
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.95
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.36
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+165.9%+$48.11
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$59.38
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.54
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.55
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.29
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+545.2%+$103.2
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.42
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+162.8%+$19.54
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33.68
Will Walmart say "Brick and Mortar" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Walmart say "Automotive" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+195.6%+$72.28
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+95.7%+$19.13
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+493.8%+$2,579.24
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.02
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$323
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.27
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.74
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$14.3
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$130.08
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.89
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$8.69
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$15.45
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.28
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.91
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.58
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$61.14
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$94.36
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$36.98
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+322.3%+$264.68
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+254.7%+$50.37
Will Ariana Grande say "Cynthia" or "Erivo" on SNL on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$43.87
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.88
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$98.42
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.4%+$33.4
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+94.3%+$47.13
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $115-$120 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 1 above $180?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+90.5%+$400.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 24 above $610?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+59.6%+$23.86
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will Tesla dip to $375 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $320 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+57.8%+$23.12
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $280?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.04
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$254.5
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$159.34
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$26.05
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.8%+$38.93
Will Chainlink reach $20 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+59.6%+$51.31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Will XRP reach $2.60 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$110.07
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+62.4%+$22.46
Will Solana dip to $140 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+79%+$34.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$29.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$18.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.51
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.14
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$123.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$24.88
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+159%+$31.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$11.39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$11.6
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+363.6%+$90.91
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.23
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58.15
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$28.48
Will it Snow in Seattle this December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90.3%+$24.39
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+79.7%+$55.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$112.84
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$27.28
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.83
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+191.5%+$47.89
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.42
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+144.7%+$64.53
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+189.4%+$433.59
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.67
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.84
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.41
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+368.5%+$51.58
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+141.1%+$84.65
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+197.6%+$83.85
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$31.56
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.43
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+155.2%+$23.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$16.72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$87.38
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.31
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
All 7 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.74
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+230.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+70.6%+$14.11
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+156.2%+$39.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.