TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof T1, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked T153c26,918$14,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,242.5517948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nongshim RedForce47c25,291$11,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,459.6328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed T153c4,332$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.8818457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim RedForce48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9825660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim RedForce47c3,040$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.226050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed T152c2,637$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.2993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed T153c2,261$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nongshim RedForce47c2,178$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.2828143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Nongshim RedForce46c2,132$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.0219860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,707$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.575962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nongshim RedForce48c1,522$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.444161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,500$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.0832245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed T154c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8102634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked T153c1,348$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.48144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,213$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.644860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,168$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.8525556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T152c1,085$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56415343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked T152c1,059$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.844845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Nongshim RedForce49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nongshim RedForce47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Nongshim RedForce48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed T153c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed T142c995.83$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed T154c968.17$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.818145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed T152c956.5$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3856551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed T154c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4866443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Nongshim RedForce47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed T110c706$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4514750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed T153c687.5$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6222346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb770…3f81backed T115c649.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.92231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed T116c623.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0846326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed T154c615.35$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.298357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed T133c600.91$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed T154c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed T124c594.04$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.578640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Nongshim RedForce80c552.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed T154c477.78$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce59c476.6$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.051,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Nongshim RedForce76c463.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5523463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Nongshim RedForce76c461.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.872161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed T154c384.62$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.164759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce75c372.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked T151c349.14$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed Nongshim RedForce47c339.02$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.686041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T154c316.61$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9716347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nongshim RedForce48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15627145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed T126c273.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.062835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Nongshim RedForce47c244.83$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Nongshim RedForce61c233.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6715147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce47c233.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.651,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed T19c217.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8616033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed T155c213.96$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6863447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce64c199.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.251,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce58c198.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Nongshim RedForce44c192.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7725554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed T153c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked T154c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked T154c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Nongshim RedForce49c183.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Nongshim RedForce49c183.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.042560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked T156c178.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Nongshim RedForce57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Nongshim RedForce59c169.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0710151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim RedForce74c164.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9755152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked T154c163.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nongshim RedForce57c152.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1670043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Nongshim RedForce47c143.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T149c124.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce64c122.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.761,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed T154c120.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed T126c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked T152c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.422440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed T122c119.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x504e…7ad9backed T154c119$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b28…bf9fbacked T127c111.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked T110c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Nongshim RedForce47c109.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9210555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Nongshim RedForce46c109.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.225050%25 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Nongshim RedForce47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked T153c104.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4519551.3%100 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T125c101.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4451749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nongshim RedForce65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3540254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked T154c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5438950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2899…556cbacked T154c96.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nongshim RedForce70c93.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6126932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed T154c92.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.819847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed T120c87.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed Nongshim RedForce47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Nongshim RedForce48c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.688349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed T154c81.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.121540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nongshim RedForce49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Nongshim RedForce47c78.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.513647.2%17 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.657151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Nongshim RedForce48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2515560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed T154c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Nongshim RedForce47c73.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.724060%24 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed T147c70.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.626536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce66c67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c3…22f9backed Nongshim RedForce75c65.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.